Friday, June 02, 2006

There is a lot of pessimism in this market for an economy that is basically strong. The Put/Call ratio over 1.00 and the declining VIX point to better days ahead.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

I agree: with the VIX and P/C ratio so high and this yield curve, we should be looking to buy or hold equities better than to sell them. But I wonder if it would be better to take adventage of the lower prices after May sell-off (around 10% fall in European markets)or to wait till the summer and the hurricane season is over and the investors have settle down a bit. What do you think?

Thanks and regards.
M.

Deborah said...

Dear M.

I agree that this is a hard time to buy stocks - especially with a new Fed Chm.! If we wait until hurricane season is over, however, that takes us into November; and 5 months is a very long time in this market! The commercial paper yield curve is slightly negative from 1-14 days. That's as long as I'd wait. More on today's blog.

Thanks for your excellent analysis!
Best,
Deborah