Friday, May 25, 2007

The 3-mo./10-yr. spread (which is on the Fed's website http://www.treas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/yield.shtml) has narrowed to just a negative 5 basis points. As I've been saying since last summer, US escalation of the war has stimulated the economy and the stock market despite this inverted curve. As one astute reader summarized, "War trumps the inverted curve."

3 comments:

Kumbu said...
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Kumbu said...
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Kumbu said...

Yield curve normalized as of 5/30. Yield curve as of 5/31 10Y=4.9%/3M=4.73%